2020 Hurricane Season Forecast
The summer weather forecast includes plenty of Tornados and a busy hurricane season. Weather forecasting organizations are calling for a higher number of hurricanes forming in the mid Atlantic and moving through the tropical region of North America.
The region normally sees 13 major hurricanes or tropical storms, but like 2019, the experts are calling for 16 to 18 big storms this year. Some will undoubtedly hit the Caribbean and the shores of the United States.
Fears are for Texas, but Florida, Louisiana, and South Carolina as conditions may exist to pull these huge storms westward.
Season Begins June 1st
The hurricane season of 2020 will begin in June 1st and continue through to Nov 28th. Forecasters at Colorado State University who have noted expertise in the forecasting hurricanes, are calling for 16 to 18 major named storms. Of those storms, 8 will be hurricanes, and 4 could be category 3,4, or 5 hurricanes with sustained winds above 111 mph.
The experts believe there is a 69% chance that one of the hurricanes will land somewhere along the US coastline.
On occasion, these massive Hurricanes spawn Tornados within their furious stormfronts along with devastating flooding. In 2004, Hurricane Ivan generated 120 Tornados across 6 states. These types of Tornados are usually weaker F0 events, but 8% of them have hit F2 or F3. Given these are happening within a Hurricane, it would be a frightening experience.
The Weather Channel Hurricane Season Forecast
What Causes Hurricanes?
Hurricanes are huge complex weather events. They are massive weather systems created by the heating of ocean waters off of Africa and given movement by the earth’s rotation (Coriolis effect) and tropical trade winds.
During the summer and early fall, as the heat rises from the ocean water it becomes warm, humid air creating a huge cloud formations.
A hurricane begins this process which creates winds in its core. If waters are warm, the hurricane will have the energy to keep growing, spinning and moving across the Ocean towards the Caribbean and the US. It’s believed the tropical trade winds blow the hurricanes westward.
What Makes It a Bad Year for Hurricanes
⦁ warm ocean waters off of Africa
⦁ warm waters in the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico
⦁ strong trade wind jet stream
⦁ cooler conditions in the Pacific
⦁ wetter season in the US southeast
According to UIUC.edu, the ocean water itself must be warmer than 26.5 degrees Celsius (81°F).
Tropical Hurricane formation requires 6 main factors:
- warm sea surface temperatures (at least 26.5 °C (81°F)
- atmospheric instability
- high humidity in the lower to middle levels of the troposphere
- enough Coriolis force to develop a low-pressure center
- a pre-existing low-level focus or disturbance
- low vertical wind shear
Threat of the 2020 Hurricane Season
2020 has already begun as one of the most interesting and active weather seasons. Take a good look at the Tornado season forecast, and share this with your friends. See the 7 Day weather forecast for your region.
Please bookmark this page for updated information and forecasts as we head deeper into the hurricane season of 2020.
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